Internatinal conference
Russia's
Future of Eurasiandom:
the Cultures fnd Civilisanions Dialogue
31.10
- 01.11.2001.Moscow. Noviy Arbat, 36
Reflections before the conference
...on Ex-Soviet Expanse
Nowadays
the integrational post-Soviet developments are chiefly featured by
a specific role of Russia.
We do not need to go much further into
historical retrospect, as it would be enough to mention that for centuries
Rus, or Russia has been a nucleus of agglomeration progress going
on the huge expanse of Eurasia inhabited by hundreds of nationalities.
As a matter of fact, it was a manifold process of peaceful affiliations
and blody military conqests of new lands and peoples, sometimes by
destroying the statehood and freedom of the advanced and well-off
nations.
Notwithstanding the Soviet Union's
collapse, Russia has maintained her political significance in the
world affairs, remaining a permanent member of the UNO Security Council
and a super-power. Along with the geopolitical position and possession
of nuclear arms as factors to render Russia a super-power status,
there are her demographic potential, natural resources and high scientific
and technical capacity. On the whole, Russia will be a fundament of
the CIS with its population half and 60 percent of NGP total for strengthening
the economic community now being under formation.
By all her political and geostrategic
views, the Russian Federation would not be distanced from the CIS
events. By and large, her world position may as well be estimated
as a capacity to bridge Europe and Asia and keep up the CIS stability.
Any kind of self-isolation might be damaging to her international
image and national security. Russia's exclusion from the formation,
as well as instigation of ill-will between the newly-emerged states
and Russia, are both undesirable and unreal. Indeed, Russia's active
participation in the CIS economic development will be very much essential
for further stabilization in the zone, meanwhile her partnership,
but never an exclusive dominancy, might provide substantial and mutual
economic gains. Furthermore, the peace and well-being in the region
would serve Russia's long-run interests and give a real meaning to
the Commonwealth of Independent States.
Unfortunately, there is no common opinion
and unique position among the ruling, political and scientific elite
of Russia on the aims of integrational process, the CIS development
perspectives and estimation of current events. In the President's
recent message on national security to Russia's Federal Assembly,
the contingency of uncontrollable desintegration is named 'a most
destructive challenge' to the domestic peace. It is a factual reflection
that the top Russian leadership are immediately concerned with the
integrational future.
Now if we look at the new system of
international relations, we will have to admit that the present world
configuration is no longer ruled by ideological attitudes (be it anti-communism
or Russophobia), but by material and economic interests and strivings
to gain a most advantageous position on a capital, commodity, services,
labour, information or any other world and regional market. Meanwhile,
the major players are no longer represented by the developed world
nations like the United States, Japan, Germany and China alone, but
by mega-corporations, multi-nationals and integrational giants.
Russia is trying to integrate into
the world economy in the circumstances, when her competitive power
is extremely low. Her machine-building and metall-working quota in
the national economy dropped to 18.3 percent, while in China, the
USA, Germany and Japan it is 29.5, 39.5, 48.1 and 50.2 percent respectively.
Generally speaking, the dominant figures of the Russian export chiefly
fall on gas, oil and other national resources, rating her foreign
trade in line with that of the under-developed countries.
There are many objectives urging Russia
to be active in the economic integration field with the CIS partners.
It is dictated, firstly, by the long-time integrational traditions,
territorial specifics and ramified cooperation at a level of entreprises,
industrial units and industries. The Russian manufacturers need a
capacious, practically guaranteed and relatively unassuming market
for their products underrated on the highly competitive world market.
Therefore any whatsoever temporary and slightest yielding the positions
on the CIS market might appear irreversible for Russia in view of
the espansive trade and investment policy of the third nations.
Secondly, Russia could largely profit
by the desire access to the vast and unique raw material deposits
in the former union republics of Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.
Equally, that might be advantageous and quite timely for her to off-set
the industrialized nations in their competitive pursuit that is kindled
out there and is expected to expand. Thirdly, it is impossible to
maintain a good freight service out to the third lands without cooperation
with 'the near abroad' neighbours. After the USSR desintegration many
of the railway, automobile road and pipe-line crossings at the ex-Soviet
border and the Europe-oriented sea-ports are now under jurisdiction
of the new owners. Presently it is the two thirds of sea-borne freight
turnover that is being done via the now-alienated sea-ports. The disruption
of traditional transit communications is ensued with big economic
losses. At the same time, any ventures to create new sea outlets and
outer communication facilities of her own would be very costly and
hard indeed on the Russian finance.
Generally, it is thought that the position
expressed in the message by the President of the Russian Federation
to the Federal Assembly will finally be overwhelming. It says, "We
should never forget the major point: in Russia's view the economic
integration on the CIS expanse is a natural process for its participants
to gain profitable objectives. We are ready to use all of our potential
to activate the process. But Russia must be sure of the partners'
eagerness to join it. We will never appreciate any appeals and wrong-doings
that might balk anyone's own national intersts, and this is the only
wise basis for equal and mutually beneficial CIS relationship." All those interested
in attending the Conference are kindly requested to apply to: 103064,
Moscow, Furmanny Per. 14, Build. 4, Human Rights Institute, tel./fax
(095) 208-3301, e-mail: kalandarov@ropnet.ru
NigmatjanK. Issingarin
Deputy Secretary General
Eurasian Economic Union
2001
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